In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. Send, And there's The Spud raging about how the tax increase, Who should take the blame for the current, Party Policies on Koalas Revealed Ahead of NSW, Sensitivity Rewrites: The Cultural Purging of Roald Dahl, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932, http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html, http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world, MP Tudge Leaves In Order To Spend Less Time With. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. Jacqui Lambie!! Great article, and I had a nice chuckle at some of the sentiments of those who took the time to comment. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. China has over 1 Billion people !!! On 23 April this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the PLA Navy's production capacity by commissioning at a single ceremony the Hainan amphibious assault ship, the Changzheng-18 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, and the Dalian destroyer. 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Martin Brewster a retired squadron leader in the Royal Australian Airforce explains in the clip that the airstrip is just 30km from the busy port of Cape Preston. Something went wrong, please try again later. The Chinese are already quietly invading us in droves, buying up huge amounts of property and investment. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. For Australia the decisions that will have to be made, in order to totally avoid an outbreak of war one in which Australia for all intent and purposes will inevitably lose and one that would encourage a ground invasion by Chinese forces is where to place China as these regional machinations increase? Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. America, as a standalone country comprised at this time, 4.6% of the worlds population. Peace is said to be Wars opposite and everwhile the arming for war denies peace any opportunity of reality except in the mind of man. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. Everyone is doing it hard at present. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. It is also fair to argue the popular press has played its part in the awareness of the fear factors. Articles that have appeared in the press recently include China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific,[2] New vertical Chinese map gives greater emphasis to South China Sea claims,[3] Return of the samurai: Japan steps away from pacifist constitution as military eyes threat from China,[4] Long March Out of China;[5] and one of the most recent which offers an historical, rather than a straight contemporary assessment, is Paul Monks Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI [World War One],[6] which highlights the course of war being the outcome of particular political processes. Trillions of dollars would be dumped on the global market in a very short time, which would lower the dollars foreign exchange value in a disruptive rather than advantageous way, raise domestic US interest rates and make it vastly harder for them to bully the rest of the world economically or militarily. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. Signed sealed and yet to deliver. This is especially daunting for Taiwan, as it is unclear whether it can get help from anyone else if, or when, the time comes. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. Just buy the bastards and their debt out. By Alan Dupont. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. Australia has fallen out with China in recent years over significant geopolitical issues, including Beijing's territorial ambitions in the South China Sea and the COVID-19 pandemic. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. But is it? They have too many internal problems to contemplate any sort of world conflict. Be afraid and whatever you do, support your government!!! The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. The World Economy. That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. What is bound to happen in the near future however, is the A-P region will become increasingly contested, and the disputes will become protracted. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. This is a well written, well constructed article, but I find the premise on which it is based implausible. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. As he put it, "It's not been an easy decision for me but it is. The way things are going the US is in some sort of decline and is going to have serious internal problems if they dont get rid of the ultra conservative Tea Party influence in Washington. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. With all of the above-mentioned commentary, and in particular because Monk has drawn into the mix an historical pivot, there is a need to examine these issues further to highlight where the fear comes from, and where it has its roots. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. War is inevitable. Islamic terrorism to be exact!!! And correspondingly, where to place the US? As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. Even if an invasion of mainland Australia is a remote possibility, displaying an enhanced capacity to defend the mainland is an effective deterrent in its own right. That sounds frightening!!! particularly June Bullivant. A sad state of affairs. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos, the US will loosen its grip on global power and the war on IS will end by 2020. What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. China to INVADE Australia? The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. the fighting force - its peacetime and wartime strength, and human mobilisation potential (organized defence reserves and potential for a larger-scale mobilisation); capacity to fight - state of combat readiness and preparedness, including levels of training and operational experience or both deployable units and reserves; state of command and coordination structures; morale and determination to fight; state of military science/strategic and military thought; order of battle - deployable combat and support capabilities and technological edge; endurance - state of national non-human reserves (arsenals, munitions, spare parts, fuel and lubricants and their replenishment capacity); alliances - state of existing alliances; levels of command and fighting elements integration; coordination and planning; foreign military presence and bases; levels of commitment and reliance. God help our descendents. I wont go into the importance of our location to those Interests here. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. Historical Statistics. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . Your email address will not be published. Subscribe to ADM Premium. He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. But if Russia, China and India decide to start trading oil in their own currencies or in gold then the petrodollar becomes just one of several major currencies. This article was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. Also our most northern city, Darwin (or Wolf Creek) is a complete joke ! How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? More to the point could we one day become disillusioned with the US and form a stronger alliance with China, India, Brazil and Asia. China has stepped up presence on Australia's South Pacific neighbours former US Navy intelligence commander described bold plans as expansionist Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Kiribati ditch. China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. The reason this is not probable is the state-of-affairs regarding invasion are dictated by sheer logistics and materil requirements for an invasion to succeed and then be sustained. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! WILD: An Australian politician has made a bizarre claim about a small airstrip in the desert, IMPORTANT: The video pointed out the airstrip's proximity to the port of Cape Preston. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. War is a fools game and China knows it. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. Another Century of War? New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. A war . By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. Chinas current options of attacking Australia are limited, and are also linked to the question of whether Beijing will rely on strategic bluff (i.e whether it assumes no retaliation will come its way). In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. 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