But its extremely unusual for an exchange to cancel whole sessions of trading after the fact. The fear was that Tsingshan could not make its margin calls, interim payments to parties on the other side of the trade. The LME convened its special committee, a small group of metals and legal experts with the power to issue emergency rules for the market. About 50,000 tonnes of Xiang's total nickel short position of over 150,000 tonnes is held through an over-the-counter position with JP Morgan, which means Tsingshan owed the bank about US$1 . US manufacturing sector contracts again; raw material prices rise, U.S. House panel approves bill giving Biden power to ban TikTok, Additional reporting by Eric Onstad in London, by the Beijing newsroom and Min Zhang in Beijing; editing by Carmel Crimmins, Exclusive: Tesla readies revamp of Model Y codenamed 'Juniper', EV startups from Lucid to Rivian see demand fade, supply chain issues linger, Lilly to cut some list prices by 70% and offer $25 insulin, Exclusive: Biden administration to move on Midwest ethanol-blended gasoline rule this week -sources, Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionals. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The move is a characteristic display of self-confidence from Xiang Guangda, the owner of Tsingshan Holding Group Co., and means that the nickel market could be set for more fireworks once it reopens. Cliff Asness, founder of AQR Capital Management,accused the LME, which was for more than a century owned by its members but in 2012 was sold to Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing, of stealing money from market participants trading in good faith and giving it to Chinese nickel producers and their banks. LMEs Chamberlain defended canceling the trades. Xiang shrugged off suggestions to reduce short positions, Tsingshans nickel short position stood at about 150,000 tons. Opinion. The LME is now very likely going to die a slow, self-inflicted death through the loss of confidence in it and its products, predicted Thompson in a tweet. Tsingshan and others had to buy . For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact A consortium of hedge bank creditors that has a standstill agreement with Tsingshan agreed not to close out the positions against the company or to make further margin calls on the existing positions. In an earlier interview with Chinese news outlet Yicai, Xiang blamed "foreigners making some moves" for nickel's price spike. The Initial Margin was $20,000 per contract. At that time of day, bleary-eyed traders are typically just glancing at prices as they swig coffee on their way to the office. Indeed, Russia is the worlds third-biggest nickel producer after Indonesia and the Philippines. Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. It also doesn't create waste and may help fight the climate crisis. The London nickel market has been closed since last Tuesday morning, when the exchange intervened after prices spiked as much as 250% in two days, and the standstill announced by Xiangs Tsingshan Group Holding Co. could provide the certainty needed to restart trading. Remember, when prices move up, traders like Xiang who have sold futures contracts face margin calls; they must put up more cash to cover potential losses. He started increasing his short position on the London Metal Exchange. Chinese nickel giant at center of action, Tsingshan, received financial lifeline from banks to help meet margin calls related to $8 billion in paper losses Since Russia invaded Ukraine at the. It did not provide any other details, such as how long the standstill period would last. Given nickel matte prices of roughly $15,421/t May 18, we calculate a profit margin of $5,571/t for Tsingshan's nickel in matte. Assessing the Incremental Costs of Regulation and Supervision Faced by EU Banks Compared to Their US Peers, Interview with Mr. lvaro Saboro, Chief Executive Officer, Grupo Financiero BCT. Late on Monday, the LME also allowed traders to defer delivery obligations on all its main contracts -- including nickel -- an unusual step that underscores the pressure on commodities generally from the moves to isolate Russia economically. Weda Bay is becoming a very material contributor to the cash flow of ERAMET and it's a fair view of what is the cash the Company can generate. He ranked 235th on the 2021 Hurun's China rich list, which puts his net worth closer to $4.2 . A short squeeze is a market condition caused by massive short positions. 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Sanctions being implemented by Western powers against Russia over the invasion of its neighbour raised immediate concerns over the global supply of nickel, a metal that is primarily used around the world to make stainless steel and batteries and of which Russia accounts for around 10 percent of global supply. Reuters provides business, financial, national and international news to professionals via desktop terminals, the world's media organizations, industry events and directly to consumers. UNFORGIVEABLE,tweetedMark Thompson, a former trader at Trafigura and Apollo. Privacy Policy | But this week the rally became a melt-up, with prices surging as much as 250 per cent in little more than 24 hours, to an all-time high of $US101,365 a tonne. By April, nickel prices began to fall below $35,000/tonne and Tsingshan began to close its short positions and settled its margin calls. Reuters could not determine how large Tsingshan's short position currently is after it cut its exposure. Bloomberg: Balance of Power focuses on the politics and policiesbeing shaped by the agenda of President Biden's administration. Distribution and use of this material are governed by The exchange then retroactively wiped out $3.9 billion worth of transactions made before the suspension to demonstrate that nickel prices had stopped reflecting the underlying physical market. Still, the LME has weathered numerousscandalsbefore in its 145-year history, from a 1985crisis in the tin marketthat caused many brokers to go out of business to the incident when a trader at Sumitomo hid more than US$2 billion in losses. While Mark Thompson, executive vice-chairman at mining-development company Tungsten West, tweeted: The LME is now very likely going to die a slow, self-inflicted death through the loss of confidence in it and its products.. Financial markets are on edge after the London Metal Exchange last week granted a reprieve to the giant Chinese nickel producer, which . Soon Chamberlain and other executives at the exchange began receiving frantic phone calls from LME brokers. Worse, the chaos was spreading to other markets: Zinc prices spiked 15 per cent in a few minutes to a record high, only to collapse again. Nickels 250 per cent price spike in little more than 24 hours plunged the industry into chaos, triggering billions of dollars in losses for traders who bet the wrong way and leading the London Metal Exchange to suspend trading for the first time in three decades. This report studies the Ferronickel market, covering market size for segment by type (Ferronickel (Nickel15%), Ferronickel (Nickel15-25%), etc. Erin Jonasson. Tsingshan's 2022 nickel equivalent output is . Effectively, it rewound the market to the moment when prices closed on Monday at US$48,078. Despite that, reserves that can be economically mined are limited. The metals industry, financial regulators and Chinese officials rushed to resolve a crisis in Londons nickel market, which remained on ice after an ill-fated trade sparked mammoth price gains and billions of dollars of losses. But to hedge against a a drop in prices, they use. Bloomberg: Balance of Power focuses on the politics and policies being shaped by the agenda of President Biden's administration. 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Those payments have now been made, a person familiar with the matter said on Tuesday. The limits also meant that those buyers seeking to unwind their positions had to join a long queue of sellers waiting to complete their transactions. After trading was suspended Tuesday following an unprecedented surge in prices, the London Metal Exchange said it does not expect nickel trading to resume before March 11. When it was flying towards US$100,000, you could feel the damage, and you knew companies were fighting for their existence, says John Browning, founding partner of brokerage Bands Financial Ltd. and a former LME board member. Yet the day before, the market had started to unravel, with prices rising by astunning66 per cent to US$48,078. read more. The new historic high is nearly twice the previous record of $51,600 in 2007. FY18 RESULTS, FY19 GUIDANCE AND CORPORATE PRESENTATION 22 AUGUST 2018 AGENDA Results Guidance Corporate Operations Growth Exploration Nickel Market DISCLAIMER AND FORWARD To gauge the magnitude of the problem, an unnamed source familiar with the trades told the Wall Street Journal that had the LME not cancelled those trades and allowed prices to stand at over $100,000, Tsingshan would have owed the group an estimated $15 billion. Today, Tsingshan is the biggest nickel producer in the world, accounting for around 20% of the global market. Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. Plus, 60% off clearance with American Eagle promo code, Wayfair promo code: 10% off any single purchase, Kohl's promo code: 30% off for Kohl's Rewards Members, 50% off + free delivery on any order with DoorDash promo code. Creditors and banks who acted for Tsingshan were demanding margin settlements and the closing of all positions. Still, this weeks short squeeze is nonetheless likely to push costs higher for battery companies and stainless steel makers, eventually feeding through into the price of everyday goods. 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Tsingshan, among other Chinese companies, is ramping up a wave of new battery-grade nickel capacity in Indonesia. To limit price volatility the LME imposed daily upper and lower price limits of 15% for all its physically delivered metals. At the current price of nickel, the brokers themselves wouldnt be able to pay their margin calls, they told the LME. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. Some aggrieved traders are already preparing to take legal action against the exchange. read more. . Tsingshan has been finding it difficult to pay margin calls to its creditors, the report said. A short position is created when a trader sells a security he does not own, with the intention of repurchasing it later at a lower price. Why? See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. The first source said that the banks could potentially earn money on a bridge loan secured by future nickel production if Tsingshan paid them back over time as it produced nickel. Exchanges sometimes cancel trades when technology glitches or fat fingers cause one-off mistakes. Challenges Remain, But There Are Opportunities to Be Interview with Mr. Olukayode Pitan, Chief Executive Officer Unemployment in South Africa: Urgent Attention Required, The US-Africa Leaders Summit: Fostering a Closer Relationship with the Continent, Agenda BC#: Innovation and Inclusion in the Brazilian Financial System, Why Fertiliser Prices Have Been So Volatile This Year. We expect the LME nickel price to remain volatile in the near term, as the global nickel market finds equilibrium following recent events, S&Ps Sappor added, warning that an elevated risk of another short squeeze hitting the LME nickel market in the near term continued, given the presence of both a dominant warrant-holding position on available LME stocks and Tsingshans short position. NIC's operations and cash flow remained stable in 2022 despite Tsingshan's significant loss on its nickel short position in March 2022. This will allow the trader to buy the security back at a lower price, return it to the lender and hopefully pocket a handsome profit. The paper loss stood at $8 billion on Monday, before violent moves in nickel prices led the London Metal Exchange to suspend trading in the metal on Tuesday, one of the people said. In a squeeze, rising prices put traders betting on a drop in an ever-tougher financial position, forcing them or brokers and banks doing business on their behalf to buy the asset, a trade known as short covering that can drive prices even higher. But the Eastern European conflict also saw sizeable long positions enter the market, including major buyers Volkswagen, Glencore and JPMorgan, which instead drove prices higher. Moscow's invasion of Ukraine and the west's moves to sanction Russia, a key major supplier, have electrified an already bullish nickel market. The LME nickel short squeeze. This was the most disorderly move in a metal Ive seen in my career, says Mark Hansen, chief executive officer of trading house Concord Resources Ltd. We had a frenzy based on speculation that accelerated on Monday and Tuesday. Join the 500.000+ traders worldwide that chose to trade with Capital.com, Also you can contact us: This created an unprecedented LME nickel short squeeze. The company had a further 120,000 tons or more in short positions off the exchange, in bilateral deals with such banks as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Standard Chartered Plc. Tsingshan was unable meet margin calls and only avoided bankruptcy after . If you rely on the information on this page then you do so entirely on your own risk. For a while, it wasunclear which view of the market would prevail. The company, sitting on $8 billion in trading losses, said Wednesday it had secured enough metal to settle all its loss-making positions, according to a state-run media outlet. Build the strongest argument relying on authoritative content, attorney-editor expertise, and industry defining technology. Only you can decide whether nickel is a good buy or not. Tsingshan debacle exposes weak underbelly of LME. Then, as now, a key factor was the intervention of the exchange. Tsingshan Holding Group held the biggest short position for nickel on the LME. Brokers, in turn, must hold margin at the clearing house, LME Clear. Nickel prices on the LME jumped to record highs above $100,000 a tonne on March 8 as Tsingshan bought large amounts to reduce its short positions in the metal, which is used to make stainless steel and electric vehicle batteries. Tsingshan was betting that nickel prices would slump but instead they staged an unprecedented rally amid severe economic sanctions against Russia, a major global producer of the metal, over its invasion of Ukraine. We do not make any representations or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the information that is provided on this page. Q. The tycoon whose big short bet on nickel helped trigger one of the most dramatic price spikes in history has told his banks and brokers that he doesnt intend to reduce his position, according to people familiar with the matter. JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) and other banks were negotiating over the weekend with Tsingshan Group on an agreement that would give the nickel producer time to work out how to pay margins on its short nickel positions, according to a source familiar with the matter. Nickel prices shot up as much as 250% in two days on the LME at the start of this week. You should do your own research, looking at the latest news, technical analysis, and analyst commentary before trading. Nickel short interest was created by Tsingshan. . Investors who had booked trades during the chaotic session in the early hours of Tuesdaywere furious. News Corp is a global, diversified media and information services company focused on creating and distributing authoritative and engaging content and other products and services. Now they had to pay big margin calls on the exchange while receiving no margin from their client. But now, serious questions are being raised over the LMEs lack of foresight in not anticipating this incident, especially given the sheer size of Tsingshans short position, which it began to compile last year. Several large brokers got margin calls of close to US$1 billion each over the course of the day. Why? Three-month nickel on the LME more than doubled to over $100,000 a ton yesterday before the LME stepped in to halt trading of the metal. 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