Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. American arms control leadership: What now? Republicans only agree at 58 percent and that is without offering alternatives. 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4|2014: Scott (R) +1.1, RCP Senate Map|Senate Polls|Generic Congressional Vote|RCP Governor Map|Governor Polls|All 2022 Polls, RCP Average:DeSantis +9.6RCP Ranking:Leans GOPKey 2022 Races:Senate|DeSantis vs. Crist, 2020:President|FL-7|FL-13|FL-15|FL-16|FL-262018:Governor|Senate|FL-7|FL-15|FL-16|FL-18|FL-26|FL-272016:President|Senate|FL-7|FL-13|FL-18|FL-262014:Governor|FL-2|FL-18|FL-262012:President|Senate|House2010:Governor|Senate|House2008:Pres|FL-8|FL-16|FL-21|FL-24|FL-25, All Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried Polling Data. [emailprotected], 617-573-8447 The results seem all the more startling considering the same pollster in June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger. [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. But nearly 90% of Democrats say they would pick Crist over DeSantis, and 83% say the same in a Fried/DeSantis head-to-head. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. In the past month, Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a May Redfield & Wilton survey. The state's previous highest daily toll of deaths was 272 on January 22. The Covid States Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have been tracking the approval ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic. Jacob Ogles The numbers are worse for Biden, with just 21 percent looking forward to a Biden run, including just 43 percent of Democrats and a mere 12 percentof independents. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. DeSantis has a 60% approval rating among men and 47% approval rating among women, the poll said. Keith Naughton, Ph.D., is co-founder of Silent Majority Strategies, a public and regulatory affairs consulting firm. "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. BREAKING: Gov. Also, the AC at my school was broken, so it was hot as Hell. But both men say they are running for re-election in 2022 and both are in very bad shape for incumbent politicians. Ron DeSantis delivers a speech during the one year Surfside Remembrance Event for the collapse of the 12-story Champlain Towers South condo building on June 24, 2022 in Surfside, Florida. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. The real-world results have been horrific. Table #2: 10 states where governors have suffered the smallest losses in approval ratings during the pandemic. DeSantis, an ardent supporter of former President Trump and a rising star in the GOP, has been predicted to be a contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. Florida Gov. As a result, his national numbers are not that great at face value. A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released Friday exclusively to The Hill shows Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent to 23 percent. If this keeps up, they may pay the political price. Ron DeSantis is one of the most popular governors in America*, according to a new poll conducted by Pulse Opinion Research for U.S. In the past month, Trump has mostly been in the low to mid-50s. DeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. The president actually saw a slight bump in his approval rating in the early days of 2022, reaching a high of 43.5 percent on January 3. On July 1, the state reported 36 deaths. Berns Steak House launches a new reservation policy, no-show fees will now benefit Feeding Tampa Bay, Tampa neighborhood association threatens defamation lawsuit over mailer attacking Lynn Hurtak. Echelonputs DeSantis ahead of Pence, 39 percent to 18 percent; innorecent poll is DeSantis behind. In a hypothetical matchup pitting DeSantis versus President Biden in 2024, DeSantis led 52%-44% among voters, exactly matching his lead from the January Suffolk University/USA TODAY network poll. DeSantis has the momentum and is playing a disciplined long game. But in some states, the drop has been well above the national average. "Charlie Crist is in this race to defeat Ron DeSantis, and this secret GOP poll shows that he's doing exactly that," Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson for Crist, said according to Village News. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Instead, Trump continues to fume about the hearings and complain that the 2020 election was stolen. On August 30, the state reported 574 deaths. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. The Political Matrix/The Listener Groupsurvey resultsalso show DeSantis trailing either DemocratCharlie CristorNikki Friedin a potential matchup for Governor. Additionally, the methodology used also raises some questions: The poll didn't screen for likely voters, meaning that it does not factor in a potential turnout gap between Republicans and Democrats in the election. It is true that the public is far less interested in these hearings thanininflation and other domestic issues, but thatonly plays well for Trump if he takes advantage. As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. In the race for United States Senate, incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio (45%) leads Congresswoman Val Demings (41%), with Libertarian Dennis Misigoy, Independent Steven Grant, and Independent Tuan TQ Nguyen receiving 1% each, with 9% undecided. Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, The number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. Mon, Aug 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning GOP Candidate: Ron DeSantis (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Charlie Crist, Nikki Fried, Annette Taddeo, David Nelson Freeman. You know, we believe that when parents send their kids to school, its for education, not for indoctrination, and were gonna hold that line in Florida. A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. WebDeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. All rights reserved. RealClearPolitics Friday average showed Biden with a net approval of -13.5 percent. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials surveyed in a University of North Florida pollamid recent controversies, such as his ongoing spat with Disney. COVID-19 is crushing red states. However, Demings hasnt risen above 41% and still struggles with statewide name recognition, with 20% of likely midterm voters saying they have not heard of her and an additional 22% indicating that they have heard her name but have not formed an opinion. At least some of the claims around purported shifts in Florida's gubernatorial race appear to be referencing a private poll by Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP strategist and pollster. Our small but mighty team works tirelessly to bring you news on how coronavirus is affecting Tampa and surrounding areas. That is bad, but Trump is worse. Naughton is a former Pennsylvania political campaign consultant. Even his Republican numbers are not great,at 80 percent. In fact, Biden has not seen an approval above water in any of the RCP polls includedin the average since mid-December. Helags Trump nationally and inprimary polling. 2020: Trump (R) 51.2, Biden (D) 47.9. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. "Governor DeSantis is focused on promoting and ensuring Floridians have access to the two clinically proven tools for preventing serious illness and hospitalization: Vaccines and monoclonal antibody treatment," the press secretary added. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. Every little bit helps. When it comes to the way DeSantis is handling the public schools, voters give DeSantis a negative 44 - 51 percent approval rating. Many pundits assume that the two high profile Republican governors, Ron DeSantis in Florida and Greg Abbott in Texas, have set their sights on the presidency and hope to inherit the Trump mantle in the Republican presidential primaries if he doesnt run. Trump is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and at a deficit with seniors. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. As of September 2, Florida is ranked 20th among U.S. states with the highest vaccination rates. Overall, 62 percent of Hispanic voters, 68 percent of white voters and 40 percent of African-American voters approve of DeSantis. One year into the Ukraine war What does the public think about American involvement in the world. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. By comparison, just 43% gave a favorable response of any sort, with 27% rating DeSantis leadership as very favorable. Among independents, 60 percent approve and 23 percent disapprove. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has edged higher than DeSantis in recent polls. One of the most popular Republican leaders, DeSantis has long been tipped to challenge Donald Trump in the Republican presidential primaries. The two premier contests next month are the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia. In a head-to-head with the Orlando Congresswoman, Rubio leads 55% to Demings 45%. This would explain their hardline positions on Covid. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. This story first appeared at Florida Politics. As a result, Trump is offering noalternative to Biden, and the public wants neither of them. WebRon DeSantis (R) Bio | Campaign Site Florida Snapshot RCP: Average: Gillum +3.6 RCP Ranking: Toss Up Key 2018 Races: Senate | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-16 | FL-18 | FL-25 FL-26 | FL Some have also suggested that Fabrizio's long-standing association with Trump also puts a question mark over the reliability of the poll. His disapproval ratings also rose amongst Democrats and Republicans. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. Click for more. Creative Loafings 2023 endorsements for Tampa City Council, mayor and charter amendments, Creative Loafing Tampa Bay is hiring a staff writer, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor is a shoe-in for re-election, so write someone else in, Scroll to read more Florida News articles. "BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that he's losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis' 47%," wrote OccupyDemocrats in a tweet that gathered nearly 100,000 interactions since June 22, 2022. Recall that Trump won the GOP nominationby blitzing his opponents with a relatively shortcampaign; the Republican field was inexperiencednationally, had never seen anything like Trump and was always on the defensive. DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. Independents gave Biden an approval rating of 41%, a two-point drop from a few weeks prior. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good ways to catapult yourself to your partys nomination. First, a different Quinnipiac poll found that regardless of how few Floridians approve of his performance, his approval rating is still higher than Bidens in the state. DeSantis ' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, As the Appendix to this article shows, the pandemic has taken its toll on almost everyone. I can't find anything on RCP about Harris' approval ratings, much to my surprise. Morning Consult surveyed 4,174 voters in Florida and 3,041 voters in Texas from Aug. 21 to 30, with margins of error from 1 to 3 percentage points. The survey's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 to 2 percentage points. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. A February-March poll by Saint Leo University gave a whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis. The potential re-election of Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio would make the state of Florida ground zero for the national Republican Party, said Paleologos. Not to mention the other Florida Senator Rick Scott, who became chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee last year.. Crist himself is up against Nikki Fried, Florida's Agriculture Commissioner, in the Democratic primaries, though the odds are heavily skewed in his favor. Andall this when Trump is the only Republican really running. Seventy-three percent of Democrats now disapprove of the job he is doing as governor, up from 70 percent in July. Voters say they feel that economic conditions in Florida have gotten worse since January. He never takes responsibility for himself. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. The mercurial rise of Ron DeSantis is the Democrats fault. Please considermaking a one time or monthly donationto help support our staff. Recent social media posts have claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis has fallen behind Democrat Charlie Crist in the Florida governor race. Donald Trump trailing in a contest with another Republican is a sea change, said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. Pushaw's claim is incorrect. 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